• views: 116
• date: 5 February 2026
• posted by: 0nelove

Understand how professional sportsbooks calculate football probabilities, odds and player props
What you'll learn
Learn how to calculate odds and probabilities for hundreds of Football markets.
What are Expected goals and how to calculate them from betting odds
How to use the Poisson distribution to calculate probabilities
How to calculate Player Props for some of the greatest players of all time
Requirements
No previous experience necessary. You will learn everything you to need to here.
Description
An easy to follow, fun course to understand the fundamental concepts of calculating odds and probabilities for a multitude of football match markets.
Specifically we´ll look at
1. Converting Odds to probability and adding or removing extra probability margin.
2. Calculating other primary and secondary markets from correct score input odds
3. Calculating expected goals from correct score inputs
4. Breaking down expected goals using real life statistics
5. Using the poisson distribution to calculate probabilities
6. Using different sources of real life data to calculate player props
We´ll apply all of these techniques to one of biggest games in recent times, el clasico between Barcelona and Real Madrid back in 2018. This game features some the most well known players to play the game and so you´ll have the opportunity to price up some exceptional player props!
By the end of this course you will have understood and developed skills to calculate hundreds of football
match markets yourself, using the same techniques used by real life sportbooks.
This will help you understand the full process of pricing up main, secondary, special markets and player markets and will empower you and use and develop your own techniques on any other match from any league around the world!
Who this course is for
Anyone interested in understanding how to calculate Football and Player Props odds and porbabilities.
Anyone studying statistics / data science that wants to see how to apply the Poisson distribution to the field of sports betting




   
   
   

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